Will the ‘Big Bill, Beautiful’ Trump survive the senate?

When the senate is preparing to put his tracks on a major bill of President Donald Trump this week, the Republican Party is wrestling about the potential impact that Megabill might have on national debt, which has swelled to nearly $ 37 trillion.

With a 10-year budget bill, Hawks deficits in Senate such as Rand Paul and Ron Johnson draw a red-red line of cutting deeper than those in the bills sent by the DPR to them.

Because parliament members aimed to send a bill to Trump on July four, the demand could complicate the calculus of the Senate for the Republican section where the Republican could only pay three defeats.

On the one hand, One Big Beautiful Bill ACT reduces expenditure of more than $ 1.5 trillion to the current basic expenditure – according to the initial analysis of the non -partisan Congress Budget Office, meeting the reconciliation target for between $ 1.5 to $ 2 trillion in reducing expenses.

On the other hand, the bill still adds around $ 3.1 trillion to debt, according to CBO – although several Republicans such as Rep. Thomas Massie from Kentucky estimates that it can add up to $ 20 trillion to debt over the next decade.

Discharge with the White House

Paul and Johnson immediately disagreed with the White House, which referred to the analysis of the White House Economic Advisory Council who found the law would save $ 1.6 trillion for 10 years.

“There is a savings worth $ 1.6 trillion in this bill,” said the Press Secretary of the White House Karoline Leavitt at the May 19 Press Briefing. “That is the biggest savings for every law that has passed the Hill Capitol in the history of our nation.”

In the press briefing on Thursday, Leavitt attacked CBO and other goalscorers, saying they used “bad assumptions and historically have been terrible in forecasting throughout the Democratic and Republican government.”

The senate is expected to change the proposal that is taken out by the DPR and several fiscal eagles of the senate has conditioned their support for the implementation of steeper cutting. But whatever deduction that these members want must be implemented must be balanced by the leadership of the Senate of the desires of moderate people who want to preserve the main social safety net program, creating a big challenge for hope to offset the cost of the package.

Will the DPR and the Senate look well?

Other Complications: Every change in the bill made by the Senate must be approved by the DPR, which narrowly sends the bill to the upper room with only one vote.

Speaker Mike Johnson, who guided the bill through the DPR for good objections from fiscal and moderate hard players in the conference, stated “it will not increase debt,” when asked whether Trump will take ownership over an increase in deficit.

And he said he and Trump had the same concern as Johnson and Paul.

“He is also concerned like me, like Ron Johnson, like Rand Paul, because we all about the nation’s debt, and he and I often talk about this, and he is eager to change the track,” he said at NBC “Meet the Press.”

The bill sent to the senate will also increase the federal debt limit by $ 4 trillion, another sticky point with a fiscal eagle.

“Nothing is fiscal conservative about expanding the debt ceilings more than we have done before,” Paul said after the bill passed the DPR two weeks ago. “This will be the biggest increase in the debt sky that has ever existed, and GOP has this now.”

‘Weak and anemia’

In a last week’s event at Iowa, Paul repeated his humiliation of the bill, mentioning the current deduction “weak and anemia” and suggested that additional reductions could occur in rights programs such as Medicaid and Social Guarantee – the area where the line had been withdrawn by Trump and fellow Senator GOP such as Josh Hawley from Missouri, who called to build a Bill on Insurance Cutting for Cutting Insurance.

Paul told CBS “Face the Nation” on Sunday that he thought there was enough voices among his Republican senate colleagues to block the bill.

“I think there are four of us at this time, and I will be very surprised if the bill is not at least modified in a good direction,” he said.

Trump called Paul during the weekend, writing on the social platform of the truth that if the senator gave a vote against the bill, “Rand will play right in the hands of Democrats, and great people Kentucky will never forgive him!”

Speaking with reporters on Monday, Leavitt suggested that there would be a price to be paid for those who voted against it.

“Their voters will find out. That cannot be accepted by Republican voters and all voters throughout the country who voted for the president in the majority of the Republican party to complete something in the Hill Capitol,” he said.

Budget reconciliation, Congress tactics used by Republicans to get the bill ratified, not subject to the Filibuster, allows the majority of Republicans to impose major changes with a simple majority.

But changes in social security and medicare are freed from the fast lane budgeting process. Every change in these rights will require 60 votes and bipartisan cooperation from Democrats – a republican prospect is not entertaining because they do it themselves to the bill.

Paul called for a steep deduction of expenditure so that increasing the debt limit would not be part of this bill. Minister of Finance Scott Besent has asked a congress to increase the legal debt limit at the end of July to prevent the country to fail to pay their debt obligations.

“I want to [Trump’s 2017] Tax deductions become permanent. But at the same time, I don’t want to raise the ceiling of five trillion debt, “he told CBS on Sunday.” GOP will have a debt once they choose this. “

Senator Johnson, a famous fiscal eagle, has also hinted strongly that he will not support the bill in the present form, given that he adds debts.

“Very far from the target. This is very bad,” he told reporters in the capitol while the DPR still advanced the bill through the rules committee. “I’ve tried to interrupt the reality. I’ve tried to insert facts and numbers. They are on my side.”

Big or beautiful?

At the Wednesday news maker lunch at Milwaukee organized by Wispolitics and Milwaukee Press Club, Johnson claimed there was no “amount of pressure” that Trump could place to support him in the current form.

Asked on Sunday at Fox News’ “Sunday morning futures” Is he willing to push as far as Trump’s agenda, Johnson emphasized his loyalty to Americans.

“I want to see [Trump] succeed. But again, my loyalty is to Americans, for my children and grandchildren. We cannot continue to mortgage their future, “Johnson said.

Trump Advisor Elon Musk, who left the White House on Friday after his role as a special government employee reached a 130-day limit, broke up in public with the President during an interview with CBS a few days earlier where he said he was “disappointed” by a massive expenditure bill.

“I think the bill can be big or beautiful,” Musk told CBS News, “but I don’t know if it can be both. My personal opinion.”

-ABC News’ Isabella Murray and Kelsey Walsh contributed to this report.